backcasts
|back-cast|
/ˈbæk.kæst/
(backcast)
project backward (estimate past)
Etymology
'backcast' originates from English, specifically the compound of 'back' + 'cast', where 'back' meant 'backward' and 'cast' meant 'to throw' or 'to project'.
'cast' comes via Old Norse 'kasta' and Old English usages of 'cast' (meaning to throw or to shape), while 'back' comes from Old English 'bæc'; the compound 'backcast' is a modern formation patterned on 'forecast' and emerged in technical contexts (e.g., forecasting, climatology) in the 20th century.
Initially components suggested 'throw/turn back' in a literal sense, but the compound came to mean 'to project or estimate backward'—specifically to produce estimates for past values using forecasting methods.
Meanings by Part of Speech
Noun 1
an estimate or model output for past values produced by applying a forecasting method to historical data; a retrospective forecast.
The backcasts show higher rainfall in the early 2000s than previously thought.
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Antonyms
Verb 1
to apply a forecasting model or method to past data in order to estimate what the model would have predicted for earlier periods.
The research team backcasts historical emissions to validate their model.
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Antonyms
Last updated: 2025/12/25 19:01
